Jan 18, 2025

Jan 18, 2025

FX Weekly: 18/01/2025

FX Weekly: 18/01/2025

FX Weekly: 18/01/2025

United States Economy ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โฌ†๏ธ

The US Dollar held steady this week, showing a 0.0% change in value. Contributing factors included the Bank Holiday and the release of the CB Leading Index m/m with a forecast of -0.1%, leading to muted performance. Market participants remain cautious as they await further economic data and geopolitical developments.

๐Ÿ“Š Key Takeaways for Traders:

  • Monitor upcoming economic indicators for potential market-moving news.

  • Keep an eye on key support and resistance levels for price movement signals.

European Economy ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ โ†”๏ธ

The Euro stayed relatively stable this week, with no significant changes in value. Upcoming events such as the German PPI m/m, German ZEW Economic Sentiment, and the Eurogroup Meetings could provide insights into the Eurozoneโ€™s economic health. ECB President Lagardeโ€™s speeches may also drive volatility.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Trading Outlook:

  • Focus on central bank communication and key economic releases.

  • Watch for a breakout from the current range-bound pattern against major currencies.

British Economy ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง โฌ‡๏ธ

The British Pound fell -0.82% this week, weighed down by mixed economic data. While the Average Earnings Index 3m/y beat forecasts at 5.6%, Public Sector Net Borrowing increased to 11.2B, and unemployment remained steady at 4.3%. The BOE Quarterly Bulletin and CBI Industrial Order Expectations are pending.

๐Ÿ“Œ What to Watch:

  • Upcoming economic data releases and Brexit developments could heavily influence the Pound.

  • Key support at 1.30 and 1.28, with resistance at 1.32 and 1.34, will be critical levels for traders.

Japanese Economy ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต โฌ‡๏ธ

The Japanese Yen weakened by 0.64%, driven by concerns over a projected decline in Core Machinery Orders and a worsening Trade Balance. Despite challenges, resilience is seen in the services sector, with a slight rise in Tertiary Industry Activity expected.

๐Ÿ”ฎ Future Considerations:

  • Keep an eye on global risk sentiment and trade-related developments.

  • Key technical levels: Support at 110.00, resistance at 112.00.

Australian Economy ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ โ†”๏ธ

The Australian Dollar remained stable this week as traders awaited the MI Leading Index m/m data release. Limited economic activity led to a range-bound trading pattern, with the AUD showing resilience near key support levels.

๐Ÿ“Œ Trading Strategy:

  • Focus on upcoming economic releases and global risk sentiment for direction.

  • Key technical levels will determine trading opportunities.

New Zealand Economy ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ โ†”๏ธ

The New Zealand Dollar showed no significant movement this week. Traders are awaiting the BusinessNZ Services Index, GDT Price Index, and CPI q/q data, with forecasts set at 0.5%.

๐Ÿ“Š Key Insights:

  • Range-bound trading is likely until clearer economic drivers emerge.

  • Watch geopolitical developments and global market sentiment for shifts.

Canadian Economy ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โฌ‡๏ธ

The Canadian Dollar declined by -0.69%, driven by mixed economic data. Core CPI m/m was negative at -0.1%, while IPPI and RMPI showed growth, hinting at inflationary pressures.

๐Ÿ“Œ Next Steps for Traders:

  • The Bank of Canadaโ€™s Business Outlook Survey will be a critical focus.

  • Technical analysis highlights support at 1.25 and resistance at 1.27.

Swiss Economy ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ โ†”๏ธ

The Swiss Franc remained stable this week with a marginal change of -0.0%. Upcoming PPI m/m data is forecasted at 0.2%, signaling potential inflationary pressures.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Market Focus:

  • Traders should track the PPI data for insights into inflation trends.

  • Technical levels to monitor: Support at 0.9100, resistance at 0.9200.

Key Trading Tips for the Week Ahead ๐Ÿ“Œ

  • Stay updated on economic data releases across major currencies.

  • Use technical analysis to monitor support and resistance levels.

  • Keep a close watch on geopolitical developments and central bank policies.

ยฉ 2024 AlphaFX. All rights reserved.

ยฉ 2024 AlphaFX. All rights reserved.

ยฉ 2024 AlphaFX. All rights reserved.